US tariffs on India may widen India–China stock gap, heighten export risks

The United States' decision to impose a 50% tariff on Indian goods triggered by New Delhi’s ongoing oil imports from Russia has ignited alarm in Indian markets and export hubs.

Reports suggest the move could amplify a widening stock-market disparity between India and China, as investors brace for fallout.

In Tamil Nadu’s textile sector, particularly in Tiruppur, garment manufacturers—responsible for significant apparel exports to the US have halted production in a cautious "wait and watch" approach, putting ₹6,000 crore in trade at risk.

Simultaneously, Punjab's textile exporters warn of a “death knell” unless swift policy intervention occurs, given that the US accounts for 28% of India’s $35 billion textile exports.

Exports in specialty sectors are taking a hit as well. Over 200 jewelry manufacturers in Jaipur’s SEZs are unable to redirect goods to domestic markets and are facing severe disruption.

With orders drying up ahead of peak season, the region could see significant layoffs absent government support.

At the state level, the Kerala government is preparing a high-level review to assess the tariff's economic impact and is urging the central government to respond firmly.

Internationally, competing economies may benefit from India’s export challenges. Analysts warn that the combined effect of tariffs and geopolitical realignment could affect India’s currency, trade balances, and broader economic growth.